Analytics
Resolved Biden on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Biden at 98.3%. The Trump side opened at 73.5% on 26 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 73.5% on 26 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1.8% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 22% on 30 Jul 2024. $34.94K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Trump price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Trump price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2024 | 73.5% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ray69 | Trump | 201.01 |
| jfehefj | Trump | 21.62 |
| NeoWonk | Trump | 14.08 |
| Jovialgent | Trump | 6.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump. The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down. This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action. If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-vs-biden-staircase-olympics
| spendtimehostel | Trump | 0.05 |
| xhs26sx | Biden | 0.04 |
| Nik- | Trump | 0.02 |
| Latent | Biden | 0.02 |
| Bold Harbor 6293 | Biden | 0.01 |
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