Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 389.08 | $0.093 | $36.1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 99.99 |
| $0.330 |
| $33 |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 64.74 | $0.077 | $5 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.058 | $10 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Trump vs. Biden: Staircase OlympicsTrump | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will the US gain between 200k and 250k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Trump vs. Biden: Staircase OlympicsTrump | buy | 101.01 | $0.099 | $10 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | buy | 575 | $0.004 | $2.3 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 65.32 | $0.770 | $50.3 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?Democrat | buy | 67.54 | $0.370 | $24.99 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Democratic ticket: Male President + Female VPYes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Iran behind attempt on Trump?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.007 | $10.01 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 65.32 | $0.750 | $48.99 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 88.33 | $0.006 | $0.53 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.251 | $20.92 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Was Biden campaign call fake?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 819.87 | $0.006 | $5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 199.7 | $0.015 | $3 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 461.54 | $0.013 | $6 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 673.68 | $0.019 | $12.8 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 78.81 | $0.059 | $4.65 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by July 31?Yes | buy | 88.31 | $0.059 | $5.21 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 60-69 times?Yes | sell | 106.33 | $0.002 | $0.21 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.006 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 51.43 | $0.007 | $0.36 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.016 | $20 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "unburdened" by Friday?Yes | buy | 76.47 | $0.131 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 100-109 times?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 80-89 times?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Democrats nominate Prez candidate August 19-22?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 437.05 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 439.32 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.016 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.040 | $50 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 502.5 | $0.040 | $20 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.031 | $100 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.072 | $30 | Jul 22, 2024 |