Latest trade
Feb 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:27 AM UTC.
Analytics
OctaviaGrantham is down $0.82 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 48 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:27 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 43 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Jul 29, 2024 UTC to Feb 12, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.780 | $1.75 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-16 07:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 08:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 08:27 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-16 07:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $8.64 and losing ones cost $9.47 across 48 settled positions. 60.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.04 on “Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.14 on “Will a Democrat win Alabama Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Feb 2025. It has traded 48 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.66 |
| $0.974 |
| $2.59 |
| Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 2.77 | $0.968 | $2.68 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.820 | $2.78 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.978 | $1.48 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.944 | $1.39 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.880 | $1.33 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.930 | $1.32 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.927 | $1.25 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.900 | $1.11 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
 No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.680 | $2.11 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.640 | $1.85 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.669 | $1.71 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
 Who will gain more in polls after the debate?Kamala | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Sep 12, 2024 UTC |
 $PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$PEPE | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Trump election interference trial doesn't start before November?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Trump conviction overturned before election?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.090 | $0.52 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.33 | $0.003 | $0.16 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Trump on ballot in every state?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.906 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
| Trump election interference trial doesn't start before November?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | sell | 370.14 | $0.001 | $0.37 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | sell | 11.03K | $0.001 | $11.03 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Amy Klobuchar be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | sell | 10.73K | $0.001 | $10.73 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 10.73K | $0.001 | $10.73 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 11.4K | $0.001 | $11.4 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Hillary Clinton announce presidential run before DNC?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.007 | $0.28 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Democrats nominate Prez candidate August 8-18?Yes | buy | 32.73 | $0.011 | $0.36 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.001 | $0.42 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.048 | $0.28 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will France recognize Palestine before September?Yes | buy | 8.09 | $0.047 | $0.38 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Iran military response by Tuesday?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.250 | $0.37 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Alabama Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45.6 | $0.025 | $1.14 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Kentucky Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.004 | $0.42 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Idaho Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 42.5 | $0.012 | $0.51 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?Yes | buy | 32.86 | $0.014 | $0.46 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.986 | $1.01 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will David Popovici (ROU) win Gold in Men's 200m Freestyle?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 UTC |
| $PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$PEPE | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 UTC |
 Trump vs. Boden: First to 1BTrump | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala announce VP pick before DNC?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.