Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 9 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 52% on 17 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 52% on 17 Jul 2024. $29.5K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 8:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 9 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2024 | 21.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of France formally recognizes the State of Palestine by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the French government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-france-recognize-palestine-before-september
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 10 |
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| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 0.14 |
| justmyself | Yes | 0.12 |
