Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 25% on 11 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 205 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 15% on 8 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 60% on 1 Aug 2024. $617.82K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 205 points, 11 Jun 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2024 | 25.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 68.28K |
| kamala-is-brat | No | 419 |
| LoseSavings | No | 334.39 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas that begins between June 10, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| iPad | No | 300.38 |
| Coolathan | No | 139.18 |
| Somefox | No | 58.14 |
| Other-Macadamia | Yes | 36.21 |
| petersteinberg | No | 29.63 |
| nastrudomas | No | 22.19 |
| Jimmychoo22 | No | 7.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
