Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 22 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the price held at 0.5%. $1.11M traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 9:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 22 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2024 | 0.5% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 439.04K |
| LowEnergyJeb | Yes | 4.05K |
| Didi117 | Yes | 4K |
| aleph-1 | Yes | 3.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee
| Philipp668 | Yes | 1K |
| uykhjk | Yes | 300 |
| sdsdf | Yes | 100 |
| AgleGussi | No | 10.01 |
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