Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 27.5% on 20 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 6 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 9.5% on 21 Jul 2024. $112.82K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 7:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 6 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 27.5% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 77.16K |
| Colossal-Cluster | Yes | 10 |
| excited69blowjob | Yes | 0.3 |
| Nelli126 | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate is formally nominated by the Democratic National Committee as the Democratic presidential candidate between August 8, 12:00 AM ET, and August 18, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the Democratic National Committee however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used .
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-democrats-nominate-presidential-candidate
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| moyan23 | No | 0.01 |
