Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 29 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 223 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.9% on 30 Mar 2024. $46.7K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 1:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 223 points, 29 Mar 2024 – 6 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2024 | 49.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.7K |
| adirubii | Yes | 200 |
| Vills | Yes | 68.96 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Idaho.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/idaho-presidential-election-winner
| dorcashabeeb | Yes | 53.99 |
| fxfert | Yes | 20.94 |
| asfdzasdw | Yes | 11.04 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 5.64 |
| manul-134 | Yes | 5 |
| mushinstigates | No | 0.1 |
| snaggedoptatively | No | 0.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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