Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.9%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 18 Jan 2025, the highest close was 97.9% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 39% on 20 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 90.5% on 14 Jan 2025. $1.19M traded over the market's life.
228 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 1:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 18 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 53.5% |
| 18 Jan 2025 | 97.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Whaletrader | No | 36.42K |
| MalakaLLC | No | 9.74K |
| Suburban-Cleric | No | 5.8K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between November 4, 2024 and April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties. A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-gaza-war-in-100-days
| No |
| 3.66K |
| Ironmate1 | No | 1.09K |
| Polymeyo | Yes | 1K |
| BossMan | No | 882.53 |
| daxuayed | No | 635.59 |
| 4brekush | No | 510.71 |
| PolyDump | No | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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