Latest trade
Apr 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 7:39 AM UTC.
Analytics
Kiphawk is down $1.15K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 7:39 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Feb 22, 2026 UTC to Apr 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.19K | $0.307 | $272.61 | -$1.02K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 184.21 | $0.190 | $35 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-04 21:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
11 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 07:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 07:39 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-04 21:27 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $948.83 and losing ones cost $1.3K across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $161.69 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?” (No); the largest loss, $290.43 on “Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Apr 2026. It has traded 278 markets. Its open positions are worth $480.87 across 11 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 120.48 |
| $0.830 |
| $118.37 |
| +$18.37 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.33 | $0.600 | $32.32 | +$12.32 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 777.08 | $0.193 | $29.53 | -$120.47 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 247.24 | $0.420 | $21.02 | -$82.82 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $2.9 | -$10.7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 37.75 | $0.265 | $2.83 | -$7.17 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.330 | $0.67 | -$5.93 |
 US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.250 |
| $5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 68.18 | $0.430 | $29.32 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 43.88 | $0.750 | $32.91 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 777.08 | $0.193 | $150 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 18.25 | $0.548 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.175 | $1.58 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.060 | $2.1 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.060 | $0.9 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 563.33 | $0.240 | $135.2 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 74.09 | $0.240 | $17.78 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 113.26 | $0.240 | $27.18 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.79 | $0.240 | $2.83 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.240 | $8.57 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 201.82 | $0.240 | $48.44 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 421.08 | $0.237 | $100 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 60.64 | $0.082 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Men's Final - Canada vs. USACanada | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USACanada | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USACanada | sell | 13.88 | $0.370 | $5.14 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.