Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 27 points from 29.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 31% on 10 Nov 2025 and the low 2.7% on 7 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3%; a month ago, 3.9%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 15% on 30 Nov 2025.
$19.14K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.87K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $811.54 bought Yes and $4.26K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Doting-Email with 882 shares; the largest No position is elmcap2 with 689. Ten wallets hold 64.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 78 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 9:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 334 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 15 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 29.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Doting-Email | Yes | 881.87 |
| elmcap2 | No | 689.36 |
| Lumpy-Accusation | Yes | 669.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-national-ethereum-reserve-before-2027
| ThePortrait |
| No |
| 585.42 |
| T1m3chaser | Yes | 500.87 |
| Cobalt Pioneer 3CFB | Yes | 481.18 |
| justme003 | No | 344.28 |
| 42021 | Yes | 294.69 |
| SwiftieRicky | No | 229.98 |
| apiwat | No | 187.61 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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