Latest trade
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
Royal Ledger D27E is down $186.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 43 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 9:04 AM UTC.
$4.89 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Mar 6, 2026 UTC to Jul 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 538.19 | $0.163 | $23.95 | -$63.63 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-07 07:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
21 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 09:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 09:04 UTC
polymarket positions
45 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-07 07:44 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $13.1 and losing ones cost $202.38 across 43 settled positions. 18.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.11 on “Will Trump visit China by April 30?” (No); the largest loss, $56.47 on “Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jul 2026. It has traded 64 markets. Its open positions are worth $79.1 across 21 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 401.41 |
| $0.024 |
| $12.24 |
| +$2.78 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 471.04 | $0.019 | $6.83 | -$1.97 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 683.68 | $0.017 | $5.47 | -$6.09 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.26 | $0.183 | $4.65 | -$4.35 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18.96 | $0.211 | $3.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 360.91 | $0.011 | $3.79 | -$0.18 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 136.36 | $0.066 | $3.2 | -$5.8 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.62 | $0.249 | $2.39 | -$1.26 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 47.06 | $0.170 | $2.19 | -$5.81 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1.99 | +$0.99 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2 | $0.500 | $1.93 | +$0.93 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.13 | $0.163 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 27.27 | $0.110 | $0.82 | -$2.18 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 297.17 |
| $0.060 |
| $17.83 |
| Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 566.62 | $0.065 | $36.83 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 959.17 | $0.036 | $34.53 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 384.65 | $0.018 | $6.83 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 45.99 | $0.130 | $6 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 116.32 | $0.019 | $2.21 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 489.69 | $0.160 | $78.35 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.89 | $0.190 | $5.11 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.970 | $5.1 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 11.61 | $0.180 | $2.09 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.210 | $0.68 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 155.63 | $0.032 | $4.98 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 177.01 | $0.028 | $4.96 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 437.27 | $0.011 | $4.81 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 133.79 | $0.036 | $4.82 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 116.47 | $0.034 | $3.96 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 220.01 | $0.018 | $3.96 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 360.91 | $0.011 | $3.97 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 165.06 | $0.024 | $3.96 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.017 | $5.27 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 311.18 | $0.017 | $5.29 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 289.35 | $0.018 | $5.21 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 233.41 | $0.023 | $5.37 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.245 | $1.65 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.184 | $8 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.96 | $0.211 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.019 | $20.62 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 873.67 | $0.024 | $21 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.38 | $0.290 | $3.01 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.36 | $0.171 | $5.02 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 85.59 | $0.165 | $14.1 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 21.96 | $0.229 | $5.03 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.800 | $4.57 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.070 | $0.46 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 235.56 | $0.018 | $4.24 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.977 | $1.33 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.968 | $2.93 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 72.14 | $0.014 | $1.01 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1.02 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Yes | sell | 42.2 | $0.048 | $2.03 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 94.94 | $0.170 | $16.14 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.020 | $5.4 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 24.17 | $0.899 | $21.73 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.