Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.060 | $0.68 | 14d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 26.31 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.58 |
| 14d ago |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | 14d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.035 | $3.75 | 14d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.300 | $11.11 | 14d ago |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 20.97 | $0.821 | $17.21 | 14d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.392 | $35.65 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.005 | $0.31 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.100 | $3.7 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.477 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.56 | $0.158 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.003 | $0.11 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.010 | $0.31 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.080 | $1.74 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.014 | $0.3 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.022 | $0.69 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.96 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.011 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled by March 31?Yes | sell | 35.25 | $0.250 | $8.81 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.610 | $19.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Yes | sell | 46.36 | $0.130 | $6.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.178 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 11.98 | $0.790 | $9.46 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.36 | $0.216 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.250 | $20.01 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.97 | $0.032 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |