Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 27 Jan 2026, the highest close was 86.5% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 67.5% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 83.5% on 22 Jan 2026. $20.24K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 27 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 67.5% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Auction | No | 2.67K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 292 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 272 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 197 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any naturalized US citizen is denaturalized by the United States government by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Denaturalization refers to the legal process through which a naturalized citizen’s US citizenship is revoked by the federal government. An announcement from relevant federal government sources, including but not limited to US Attorney’s Offices, relevant US district courts, the Department of Justice, or the Department of Homeland Security, within this market’s timeframe that any naturalized citizen has been or definitively will be denaturalized will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the denaturalization goes into effect or any legal challenges the denaturalization may face after announcement. Initiation of denaturalization proceedings, allegations, recommendations, or statements otherwise supporting denaturalization without announcing the denaturalization of a specific person or persons will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and federal legal structures; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-denaturalize-any-citizen-by-june-30
| Educated-Convenience | No | 156.83 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 123 |
| KARACAC | No | 105 |
| Glorious-Stay | No | 88.42 |
| Duf1988 | No | 76.92 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 73 |
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