Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.2%. Yes opened at 35% on 26 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 118 daily closes on record from 26 Dec 2025 to 23 May 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.7% on 20 May 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 11 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 33.5% on 22 Feb 2026. $417.33K traded over the market's life.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 24, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 26 Dec 2025 – 23 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | 35.0% |
| 23 May 2026 | 95.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 188.86K |
| Coral Vector AC46 | No | 38.89K |
| rewrewrewrwe | No | 4.06K |
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lead-bank-in-spacexs-ipo-836
| Tiny-Blowgun | No | 2.37K |
| SmolDog | No | 1.2K |
| gopay | No | 1K |
| Trustworthy-Wriggler | No | 628.67 |
| Marketooor | No | 500 |
| Quarterly-Crayon | Yes | 385.56 |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 337.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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