Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 177 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 24% on 8 Nov 2025. $155.04K traded over the market's life.
221 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 43.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| auraofjapan | Yes | 723.42 |
| Player3HasEnteredTheGame | Yes | 677.92 |
| BobbyBlanco | Yes | 516.38 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for the next GTA (GTA VI) is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between July 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/third-gta-vi-trailer-released-before-2026
| aiden79 | Yes | 440.42 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 340.94 |
| kamarat | Yes | 245.64 |
| softpoo | No | 229.49 |
| Creator4983 | Yes | 225.73 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 210 |
| Telepinu | Yes | 196.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
