Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jan 2026.
$1.59M traded over the market's life.
278 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 5, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ohajielom | No | 83.14K |
| Nomadxx | No | 72.09K |
| Saint7 | No | 56.48K |
| DiamondPug | No | 15.78K |
| Corp12 | No | 14.87K |
| Sonmillion | No | 14.83K |
| TheMasterminde | No | 14K |
| Unhealthy-Honeydew | No | 13.87K |
| Solar Sphinx CC80 | No | 10.64K |
| Eviliam718 | No | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Nicolás Maduro, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nicols-maduro-seen-in-public-by-january-5
New to prediction markets?
