Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 24 Dec 2025, the highest close was 89.5% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 24% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 24% on 18 Dec 2025. $812.91K traded over the market's life.
247 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 1:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 24 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 36.5% |
| 24 Dec 2025 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jacksonpark | No | 33.72K |
| Bredmose | No | 27.14K |
| Foolhardy-Helium | No | 11.64K |
| Unequaled-Top | No | 11.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves a daily high price greater than 6,920.34 during market hours by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sp500-all-time-high-by-december-31
| Jeebers02 | No | 3K |
| fjwalnuts | No | 2.88K |
| High-Level-Local | No | 2.76K |
| Jollernes123 | No | 2.41K |
| SHDWS | No | 2.21K |
| username1849 | No | 1.96K |
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