Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 57.5% on 29 Dec 2025. $1.49M traded over the market's life.
548 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 74.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| eightpenguins | Yes | 25.8K |
| Lanky-Councilor | Yes | 23.25K |
| loopierr | Yes | 10.7K |
| ohbabybaby | Yes | 6.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with any alleged fake daycare facility in Minnesota, by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-charged-over-daycare-fraud-in-minnesota-by
| lineth | Yes | 5.52K |
| mndsr | Yes | 4.43K |
| idunnolol | Yes | 3.75K |
| fullamount | Yes | 3.53K |
| QuantChad | Yes | 3.14K |
| nohket | Yes | 2.66K |
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