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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 50.62K | $0.747 | $43.28K | +$5.45K |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.580 | $1.15K | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.05K |
| $0.739 |
| $6.63K |
| +$1.42K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 40.62K | $0.320 | $5.89K | -$7.11K |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5.48K | $0.730 | $4.85K | +$849.68 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 2.22K | $0.850 | $1.93K | +$44.44 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.34K | $0.655 | $1.12K | +$240.23 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.68K | $0.290 | $824.34 | -$1.69K |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 1.11K | $0.820 | $805.48 | -$105.54 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.29K | $0.391 | $646.08 | +$143.36 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 4.57K | $0.404 | $616.54 | -$1.23K |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1.58K | $0.127 | $553.66 | +$353.78 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.318 | $532.97 | -$769.82 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 3.12K | $0.339 | $389.91 | -$667.21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.490 | $372.18 | -$172.2 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | Yes | 6.77K | $0.219 | $274.12 | -$1.21K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.230 | $166.65 | -$344.41 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 741.29 | $0.560 | $100.07 | -$315.05 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.43K | $0.173 | $2.43 | -$417.87 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.35K | $0.007 | $1.18 | -$16.72 |
| buy |
| 414.87 |
| $0.756 |
| $313.54 |
| 3d ago |
 Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | 5d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.52K | $0.140 | $1.19K | 5d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.44K | $0.150 | $666.6 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5.48K | $0.730 | $4K | 5d ago |
| Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 230 | $0.795 | $182.9 | 6d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 747.57 | $0.570 | $426.11 | 7d ago |
 Will "Danny Go!: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 614.22 | $0.996 | $611.63 | 8d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5.56K | $0.490 | $2.72K | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.62K | $0.500 | $13.31K | 9d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.259 | $848.04 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.53K | $0.270 | $2.57K | 17d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 22.22K | $0.370 | $8.22K | 18d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBoomBoys | buy | 2.44K | $0.590 | $1.44K | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBoomBoys | buy | 206.66 | $0.600 | $124 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBoomBoys | buy | 213.97 | $0.586 | $125.33 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | sell | 7.78K | $0.360 | $2.8K | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | sell | 4.86K | $0.400 | $1.95K | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 6.97K | $0.410 | $2.86K | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 6.67K | $0.410 | $2.73K | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.340 | $1.1K | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.330 | $404.66 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.79K | $0.410 | $2.37K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.120 | $249.66 | 26d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.850 | $1.89K | 26d ago |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | buy | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.08K | $0.359 | $1.11K | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71K | $0.357 | $3.83K | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 48.2K | $0.620 | $29.88K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.66K | $0.510 | $1.87K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 973.75 | $0.290 | $282.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.36K | $0.830 | $6.94K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 799 | $0.050 | $39.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.129 | $263.62 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.600 | $733.44 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.490 | $935.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.910 | $1.53K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.355 | $730.19 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.234 | $347.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.500 | $1.02K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.670 | $1.54K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.37K | $0.370 | $1.25K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 313.97 | $0.630 | $197.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71K | $0.354 | $958.85 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 755.11 | $0.559 | $422.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.46K | $0.790 | $9.84K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.2K | $0.410 | $19.76K | Aug 2, 2026 |