Analytics
eightpenguins has made $301.44K on Polymarket, #684 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 20.63K | $0.690 | $17.02K | +$2.79K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 19:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
34 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 22:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 22:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:08 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $502.13K and losing ones cost $37.65K across the latest 50 settled positions. 88% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $87.4K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.24K on “US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?” (No).
It has traded 695 markets. Its open positions are worth $109.4K across 34 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 15.9K |
| $0.581 |
| $14.62K |
| +$5.39K |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 24.09K | $0.372 | $13.13K | +$4.16K |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 15.55K | $0.648 | $11.28K | +$1.19K |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 19.59K | $0.401 | $10.57K | +$2.71K |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.93K | $0.739 | $6.61K | +$1.49K |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.89K | $0.600 | $5.64K | +$311.08 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 5.93K | $0.700 | $4.04K | -$103.68 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 4.49K | $0.600 | $4.04K | +$1.34K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4.26K | $0.747 | $3.45K | +$267.1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 51.19K | $0.234 | $3.33K | -$8.65K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2.8K | $0.807 | $2.68K | +$414.01 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 3.99K | $0.682 | $2.49K | -$229.16 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 3.81K | $0.692 | $2.4K | -$234.93 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 3.33K | $0.580 | $2.08K | +$149.99 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 1K | $0.770 | $995 | +$225.1 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 961.31 | $0.825 | $958.43 | +$165.28 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 4.45K | $0.304 | $667.91 | -$687.82 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.23K | $0.548 | $614.18 | -$1.16K |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 18.89K | $0.186 | $462.73 | -$3.05K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.54K | $0.256 | $388.76 | -$3.85K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 4.57K | $0.404 | $388.19 | -$1.46K |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 6.27K | $0.127 | $344.74 | -$450.26 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 3.12K | $0.339 | $330.64 | -$726.48 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 3.44K | $0.060 | $309.45 | +$103.15 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
