Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:11 PM UTC.
Analytics
Aiden2006 is down $1.14K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:11 PM UTC.
$3.73 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Jul 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.125 | $94.55 | +$82.05 |
 Critical Discord Incident by November 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.510 | $4.59 | 2h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 06:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
22 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 20:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:11 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 06:42 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $639.09 and losing ones cost $1.78K across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $219.8 on “DeepSeek R2 released before July?” (No); the largest loss, $505.25 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 77 markets. Its open positions are worth $196.83 across 22 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.99 |
| $0.480 |
| $10.94 |
| +$3.75 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.64 | $0.294 | $10.82 | +$5.93 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $7.1 | +$2.1 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | No | 9.99 | $0.571 | $6.2 | +$0.49 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.780 | $6.13 | +$0.67 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.450 | $5.82 | +$1.32 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.940 | $5.79 | +$0.15 |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.953 | $4.79 | +$0.02 |
 McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.78 | +$0.13 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 7 | $0.690 | $4.55 | -$0.28 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.840 | $4.53 | +$0.33 |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.120 | $4.3 | +$1.9 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.882 | $4.28 | -$0.13 |
| Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $3.63 | -$0.08 |
| GitHub.com critical incident by October 31, 2026? | No | 9 | $0.510 | $3.47 | -$1.13 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.750 | $3.25 | -$0.5 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 18 | $0.270 | $3.15 | -$1.71 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | Down | 22.65 | $0.020 | $2.72 | +$2.27 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.190 | $2.38 | -$2.38 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.440 | $2.25 | -$2.15 |
 Canada's population Up or Down this year? | Up | 3.12 | $0.170 | $1.45 | +$0.92 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.740 |
| $3.7 |
| 5h ago |
 Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.006 | $0.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.013 | $0.91 | 3d ago |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?No | buy | 0.6 | $0.571 | $0.34 | 7d ago |
 Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | 7d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.64 | $0.294 | $4.89 | 8d ago |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 9d ago |
 Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 10d ago |
| Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 10d ago |
| Will SI.gov launch by October 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | 10d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.790 | $0.95 | 10d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | sell | 176.99 | $0.002 | $0.37 | 10d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.009 | $0.05 | 10d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.009 | $0.66 | 10d ago |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Down | buy | 10.78 | $0.020 | $0.22 | 10d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.009 | $0.05 | 11d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.009 | $0.05 | 11d ago |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Down | buy | 11.87 | $0.020 | $0.24 | 11d ago |
| Canada's population Up or Down this year?Up | buy | 3.12 | $0.170 | $0.53 | 11d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 13.49 | $0.009 | $0.12 | 11d ago |
 Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?No | buy | 96 | $0.037 | $3.55 | 11d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.009 | $0.08 | 12d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.009 | $0.05 | 12d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.009 | $0.54 | 12d ago |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | 12d ago |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?No | buy | 9.39 | $0.571 | $5.36 | 14d ago |
| Critical Discord Incident by November 30?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.480 | $7.2 | 14d ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.134 | $4.02 | 17d ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.153 | $4.59 | 17d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 18d ago |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.780 | $5.46 | 18d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 20d ago |
 Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.360 | $11.52 | 20d ago |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.160 | $1.92 | 23d ago |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 24d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.270 | $4.86 | 24d ago |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | 24d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 25d ago |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 25d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.882 | $4.41 | 25d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 25d ago |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.953 | $4.77 | 28d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.