Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 39%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 39% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 57.5% on 10 Oct 2026. $4.08K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 3:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 73.5% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| maybebrian | No | 100 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Carabao | No | 49.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government launches an official website at SI.gov between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying change requires SI.gov to be publicly accessible and serving an official U.S. government website. Either a completely new website or the existing AI.gov site moved, redirected, or rebranded to SI.gov will qualify. SI.gov merely redirecting to another existing website (e.g., AI.gov) will not qualify. Placeholder or "coming soon" pages, error pages, and pages that are not publicly accessible will not qualify. Only an actual change to the websites within this market's timeframe will qualify. Announcements of a planned change, including official U.S. government announcements, as well as statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest, will not qualify. Temporary redirects, temporary pages, tests, or changes to either website caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AI.gov and SI.gov websites and official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-siptgov-launch-by
| SusanWarrenHR | No | 40 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| EmethN1l2367 | No | 20 |
| bechamel | No | 20 |
| Royal Sphinx E2BE | No | 20 |
| r7shabh | No | 15 |
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