Latest trade
Feb 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:00 AM UTC.
Analytics
marketguy1 is down $9.61K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 28 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:00 AM UTC.
$463.91 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 56.0% were buys. They run from Sep 17, 2025 UTC to Feb 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes | buy | 794.17 | $0.635 | $504.41 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-10 20:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 01:00 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-10 20:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.06K and losing ones cost $2.51K across 28 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $289.76 on “Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.53K on “Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Feb 2026. It has traded 40 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.4K |
| $0.360 |
| $504.41 |
| Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.680 | $952.77 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 574.68 | $0.830 | $476.98 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 76ers vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 475.79 | $0.420 | $199.83 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 574.69 | $0.870 | $499.98 | Jan 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 26.87K | $0.002 | $49.27 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 144.92 | $0.340 | $49.27 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 26.73K | $0.094 | $2.5K | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.675 | $1.67K | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 37.8K | $0.044 | $1.67K | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.678 | $1.56K | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 13.6K | $0.076 | $1.03K | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 430.1 | $0.970 | $417.2 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.059 | $89.58 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.794 | $88.18 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.53K | $0.013 | $70 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.81K | $0.026 | $200 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?No | sell | 102.84 | $0.970 | $99.75 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.810 | $95.29 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?No | sell | 28.08 | $0.900 | $25.27 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.98K | $0.004 | $25 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.017 | $50 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 14.61K | $0.003 | $40 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.61K | $0.011 | $50 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before October?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.006 | $10 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?Yes | buy | 732.59 | $0.014 | $10 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.17K | $0.033 | $71.74 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.981 | $107.78 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | sell | 28.64 | $0.889 | $25.45 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.91 | $0.540 | $23.71 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.110 | $7.33 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 10.12 | $0.986 | $9.98 | Sep 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 37.8K | $0.092 | $3.46K | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.520 | $1K | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.19K | $0.640 | $1.4K | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.951 | $1.06K | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.6K | $0.189 | $2.57K | Sep 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.61K | $0.707 | $2.55K | Sep 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.61K | $0.804 | $2.9K | Sep 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.145 | $450.84 | Sep 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.616 | $1.35K | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.924 | $993.68 | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 3.1K | $0.161 | $500 | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.928 | $1K | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.808 | $1K | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.897 | $1K | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.520 | $1K | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1K | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.