Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 3 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 7.5% on 4 Sep 2025. $11.05K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 24.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 788.3 |
| marketguy1 | Yes | 732.59 |
| Salisw | Yes | 351.88 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 232.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MrBeast hosts another livestream which features himself, live, on Twitch, between September 2 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: This market refers to livestreams launched by MrBeast on his official, herein named channels. Any kind of pre-recorded videos or livestreams on other channels will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the named official MrBeast channel: https://www.twitch.tv/mrbeast6000
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-mrbeast-twitch-livestream-by-september-30
| G37 | Yes | 193.46 |
| Sharp-Shooter | Yes | 169.99 |
| fhvbeh | Yes | 166.67 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.98 |
| tindache | Yes | 59.99 |
| Modest-Conversation | Yes | 50 |
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