Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 25 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 0.9% on 25 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2025. $170.46K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2025 | 0.9% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| marketguy1 | Yes | 5.98K |
| FridayNight | Yes | 3.47K |
| Hefty-Chauffeur | Yes | 2K |
| Thefuture1 | Yes | 1.64K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Sam Bankman-Fried is tweeting again (https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1894204086754709951). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried officially launches a token by and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Sam Bankman-Fried, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-launch-a-coin-by-september-30
| LowValue | Yes | 1.3K |
| aqua54 | Yes | 1.02K |
| Minon | Yes | 750 |
| Impressionable-Penalty | Yes | 713.57 |
| Hvdbd | Yes | 692.57 |
| Lenrager | Yes | 372.73 |
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