Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 8 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 301 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8.5% on 30 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. $296.51K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 301 points, 8 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paeeth | Yes | 23.97K |
| Anguished-Gran | Yes | 1.78K |
| carisepatumurah1994 | Yes | 1.43K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally acquires any part of Canadian territory by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Acquisition must be through official government action, such as annexation, treaty, or legislation. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-acquire-canadian-territory-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| JoshLin | Yes | 834.92 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 765 |
| Shirogoroff | Yes | 648.08 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 405.56 |
| tailevent | Yes | 345.04 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 316.41 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 219 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
