Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 28 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 22 Sep 2025. $85.67K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 5.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| marketguy1 | Yes | 4.61K |
| Jollernes123 | Yes | 1K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 791.94 |
| Delectable-Packet | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-by-september-30
| amitmittelman | Yes | 353.19 |
| dash11 | Yes | 200 |
| SnowTexican | Yes | 161.29 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.79 |
| CHENGXV | Yes | 128.75 |
| commeowder | Yes | 115.48 |
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