Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.7%. Yes opened at 16% on 30 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 96.7% on 10 Dec 2025 and the low 7.5% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 65% on 22 Nov 2025. $3.57M traded over the market's life.
317 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 346 points · 30 Dec 2024 – 10 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2024 | 16.0% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | 96.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 781.06K |
| TheRedChip | No | 5.3K |
| toytrucks | No | 3.59K |
This is a market group over how many Fed rate cuts will happen in 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Skaliz | No | 1.5K |
| Sermie | Yes | 1.45K |
| back-in-whack | No | 999.96 |
| bigballer | No | 940 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 903 |
| opensociety | No | 857.14 |
| surf | No | 842 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
