Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.982 | $1.58 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.86 |
| $0.961 |
| $1.79 |
| Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.840 | $1.36 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 25% aluminum tariff in effect before May?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.940 | $1.29 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.890 | $1.66 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by January 31?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.650 | $1.22 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.986 | $1.23 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Berachain launch in 2024?No | buy | 0.46 | $0.896 | $0.41 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?No | buy | 0.4 | $0.930 | $0.37 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.780 | $0.34 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.69 | $0.850 | $0.59 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.550 | $0.29 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Packers vs. BearsPackers | buy | 0.48 | $0.710 | $0.34 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.920 | $0.39 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.977 | $0.52 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.950 | $0.42 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Yes | buy | 0.44 | $0.940 | $0.41 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.965 | $0.37 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 0.24 | $0.900 | $0.22 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.957 | $0.14 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.890 | $0.13 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.950 | $0.13 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.960 | $0.16 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.900 | $0.13 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will CeeDee Lamb be traded?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.068 | $0.11 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 CFB: Florida St. vs. Georgia TechFlorida St. | buy | 0.4 | $0.780 | $0.31 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Solana all time high in August?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.050 | $0.43 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.070 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.059 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.080 | $0.31 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Roy Cooper be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 19.33K | $0.001 | $19.33 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in August?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.044 | $0.17 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?Yes | buy | 19.41 | $0.017 | $0.33 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on August 9?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.104 | $0.27 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 0.12 | $0.976 | $0.12 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.790 | $2.58 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Solana above $180 on August 2?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Kamala announces VP pick in July?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?70k | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 DNC open convention?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 11, 2024 |