Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 29 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, the highest close was 44.5% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1% on 4 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 44.5% on 19 Jul 2024. $565.09K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 29 Jun 2024 – 6 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2024 | 15.5% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asdf8888 | Yes | 6K |
| 0x9e8 | Yes | 3.9K |
| thislittlecowboy | Yes | 2.22K |
| Animalskater69 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2024 Democratic National Convention requires more than one ballot to determine the party's presidential nominee. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If a nominee is selected on the first ballot, this market will resolve to "No." If there's a virtual roll call that confirms Biden as the nominee, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Democratic Party and official information from the DNC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dnc-open-convention
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 0xbit | Yes | 303.03 |
| TheJordanMarket | Yes | 285.71 |
| Aejk | Yes | 264.57 |
| atjr-old | Yes | 222.22 |
| Elius | Yes | 220 |
| reflex | Yes | 100 |
