Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 31% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 3 Jan 2025 and the low 23% on 11 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 67.5% on 8 Nov 2024. $829.32K traded over the market's life.
111 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 11:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 3 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 31.0% |
| 3 Jan 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 128.02K |
| Bright Atlas 8A4A | No | 6.02K |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 284.32 |
| Elvisionario | Yes | 240.95 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-senate-majority-leader
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| St-Qc | No | 221.94 |
| johnny6 | Yes | 78.21 |
| PolyDump | No | 40 |
| Twizzler | No | 40 |
| AetherRavenFathom | No | 28 |
| Keen Horizon DAA8 | No | 24.14 |
