Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 4 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 364 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 4 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2024. $421.13K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 364 points, 4 Jan 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2024 | 15.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wugler | Yes | 364.92 |
| Unconscious9485 | Yes | 206 |
| HaoyueWan | No | 108.7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Meissner effect claimed in the paper https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.00999 is replicated by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources and experts verifying the legitimacy of the replication(s). This market may only resolve once a definitive consensus is reached.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meissner-effect-confirmed-near-room-temperature
| Shabby-Academics | Yes | 100 |
| GP777 | Yes | 83.3 |
| garlic | Yes | 80 |
| Garfie2403 | Yes | 76.92 |
| haarts2 | Yes | 63.64 |
| VortexbLuFFsToNEfLickErINg | Yes | 42.86 |
| CrystalCraze | Yes | 36.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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