Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.4% on 1 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 2.4% on 1 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2024. $4.45M traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | 2.4% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BigMikeBeliever | Yes | 400K |
| TheConventionSoon | Yes | 171.25K |
| shewilldropout | Yes | 124.61K |
| 3t17 | Yes | 100K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris officially announces her withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between August 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Kamala Harris from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Kamala Harris does not announce her withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Kamala Harris or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-drop-out-in-august
| politicschange | Yes | 73.47K |
| 2024michelle | Yes | 37.63K |
| winbet | Yes | 28.66K |
| k-cool | Yes | 25.41K |
| sevren | Yes | 20.16K |
| Tacobell1 | Yes | 10.1K |
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