Latest trade
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
Lunar Kestrel 8D04 has made $6.9 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 19 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:04 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Mar 22, 2026 UTC to Jul 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 13 | $0.900 | $12.29 | +$0.59 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.971 | $5.83 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-10 07:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 00:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 00:04 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-10 07:41 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $21.41 and losing ones cost $11.37 across 19 settled positions. 52.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $10.37 on “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?” (No); the largest loss, $4.76 on “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Jul 2026. It has traded 24 markets. Its open positions are worth $48.4 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.962 |
| $9.69 |
| +$0.07 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $9.3 | +$0.6 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.971 | $5.8 | -$0.02 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.69 | +$0.24 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.777 | $4.53 | +$0.64 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17 | $0.500 | $1.02 | -$7.48 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 11 | $0.430 | $0.72 | -$4.02 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 23 | $0.110 | $0.26 | -$2.27 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.240 | $0.11 | -$1.09 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.910 |
| $4.55 |
| Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.887 | $5.32 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.027 | $1.08 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.027 | $1.08 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.879 | $5.27 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.840 | $5.88 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.063 | $1.26 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.830 | $9.96 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.856 | $9.42 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.924 | $9.24 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.679 | $4.07 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.904 | $5.42 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.458 | $4.12 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.732 | $3.66 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.942 | $5.65 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.751 | $8.26 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.880 | $14.08 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.814 | $8.95 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.943 | $5.66 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.424 | $3.82 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.934 | $4.67 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.880 | $7.92 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.900 | $11.7 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.943 | $5.66 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.058 | $1.16 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.942 | $10.36 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.430 | $4.73 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 16 | $0.938 | $15.01 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.106 | $4.13 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.777 | $7.77 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.223 | $1.12 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 34 | $0.110 | $3.74 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.720 | $20.88 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.290 | $3.48 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.