Analytics
smallnewt is down $542.55 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.5 | $0.202 | $31.81 | +$21.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-04 03:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 11:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 11:57 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-04 03:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $419.59 and losing ones cost $488.14 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $114.14 on “Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $35 on “Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei” (Yes).
It has traded 178 markets. Its open positions are worth $158.56 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.71 |
| $0.680 |
| $12.87 |
| +$2.87 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.08 | $0.710 | $12.04 | +$2.04 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.21 | $0.413 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 43.67 | $0.229 | $8.97 | -$1.03 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.015 | $8.17 | +$3.17 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.020 | $7.25 | -$2.75 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 125 | $0.160 | $5.88 | -$14.13 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 169.63 | $0.080 | $5 | -$8.57 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 198.96 | $0.201 | $4.97 | -$35.03 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.44 | $0.148 | $4.85 | -$1.15 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 119.05 | $0.042 | $4.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.320 | $4.69 | -$10.31 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.21 | $0.153 | $4.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.032 | $3.28 | -$1.72 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $2.7 | -$7.3 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.003 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | Yes | 16.36 | $0.611 | $2.04 | -$7.96 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 20.2 | $0.200 | $1.82 | -$2.22 |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? | Yes | 28.68 | $0.174 | $1.58 | -$3.42 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $1.18 | -$3.82 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
