Latest trade
Sep 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:02 PM UTC.
Fossa8453 is down $10.66 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:02 PM UTC.
$7.01 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Oct 13, 2024 UTC to Sep 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 5.49 | $0.976 | $5.37 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.976 | $5.36 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 17:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 12:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 12:02 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 17:08 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.48 and losing ones cost $12.14 across 46 settled positions. 69.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.3 on “Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $3.21 on “Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Sep 2026. It has traded 47 markets. Its open positions are worth $5.37 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 8.08 |
| $0.925 |
| $7.47 |
| Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.978 | $7.91 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.987 | $6.55 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 7.96 | $0.990 | $7.88 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 7.96 | $0.991 | $7.89 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | sell | 2.96 | $0.935 | $2.77 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.955 | $2.83 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 6?No | buy | 9 | $0.995 | $8.95 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.996 | $8.92 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.999 | $8.92 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 8.92 | $0.996 | $8.88 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.966 | $8.58 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.993 | $8.52 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.978 | $8.33 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.998 | $8.31 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of November?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.995 | $8.32 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of November?No | buy | 8.36 | $0.983 | $8.22 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No | sell | 8.76 | $0.938 | $8.21 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.950 | $8.33 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 27?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.979 | $2.03 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.988 | $3.67 | Oct 21, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Solana be above $240 on October 16?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.985 | $1.58 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.975 | $4.69 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.994 | $3.49 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.995 | $3.28 | Dec 20, 2024 UTC |
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.962 | $1.66 | Dec 12, 2024 UTC |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.974 | $1.36 | Dec 1, 2024 UTC |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.999 | $2.93 | Nov 24, 2024 UTC |
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | sell | 8.45K | $0.001 | $8.45 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | sell | 12.57K | $0.001 | $12.57 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 21.02K | $0.001 | $21.02 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | sell | 5.64K | $0.001 | $5.64 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | sell | 15.38K | $0.001 | $15.38 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 21.02K | $0.001 | $21.02 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.987 | $1.18 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.998 | $1.39 | Nov 9, 2024 UTC |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 3.21K | $0.997 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | sell | 3.21K | $0.997 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?No | buy | 0.87 | $0.950 | $0.83 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.973 | $1.85 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.987 | $1.19 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
Subway World Series?No | buy | 0.85 | $0.960 | $0.82 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 0.86 | $0.989 | $0.85 | Oct 18, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 18?No | buy | 0.34 | $0.998 | $0.34 | Oct 13, 2024 UTC |
Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.999 | $1.87 | Oct 13, 2024 UTC |
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 18?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.998 | $0.39 | Oct 13, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.