Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Dec 2, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.4M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 2, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 28 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, the highest close was 30.5% on 28 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 13% on 30 Nov 2024. $4.43M traded over the market's life.

189 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 7:13 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 28 Nov 2024 – 2 Dec 2024

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
sofasofa	Yes	150K
AIK	Yes	97.56K
mango0x	Yes	56.61K
aldynspeedruns	Yes	38.92K

10 of 189 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between November 27, 2024, 12:00 and December 1, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.