Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 20% on 13 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 20% on 13 Sep 2025. $58.19K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 1 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 12.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.3K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 837.5 |
| moongatandAk | Yes | 222.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing another Fed Governor before their term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request between August 25 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-another-fed-governor-by-october-31
| Yes |
| 218.96 |
| BeefDerky | Yes | 200 |
| paol | Yes | 72.73 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 55.11 |
| SnowTexican | Yes | 50 |
| Colzy | Yes | 30.77 |
| lissartter | Yes | 24.21 |
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