Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.470 | $0.8 | -$4.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 29.86 | $0.696 | $20.79 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 23.81 |
| $0.420 |
| $10 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 31.23 | $0.986 | $30.79 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 31.24 | $0.680 | $21.24 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 61.03 | $0.430 | $26.24 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 61.03 | $0.310 | $18.92 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.354 | $3 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.486 | $3 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 14.16 | $0.870 | $12.32 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 14.17 | $0.600 | $8.5 | May 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3 or more times during victory rally?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.281 | $2 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.972 | $14.73 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.550 | $6.88 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.390 | $6 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?No | sell | 13.18 | $0.977 | $12.88 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.57 | $0.610 | $14.99 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 14.74 | $0.814 | $12 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 17.93 | $0.400 | $7.17 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Club Brugge beat Celtic?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.607 | $8 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.629 | $13.53 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.186 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.896 | $12.98 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Who will win white women?Harris | sell | 10.34 | $0.270 | $2.79 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Catholic" during Georgia rally on October 28?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Who will win white women?Harris | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Rogan" during Georgia rally on October 23?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Trump blowout victory?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Who will go on Rogan first?Trump | buy | 9.38 | $0.640 | $6 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Tip" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.400 | $1.13 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.120 | $0.92 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 19, 2024 |