Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 65.5% on 31 Dec 2024 and the lowest 26% on 4 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 40.5% on 1 Jan 2025. $165.67K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 9:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 65.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Abahshdudhw050005000500bahaudhdb | No | 3K |
| Weird-Plastic | No | 288.98 |
| Proud-Gum | No | 192.31 |
| Violet Pulse 8F5B | No | 100.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden issues one or more pardons for any crimes that have not yet resulted in formal charges or convictions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon must be issued by Joseph Biden within his present term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon within this market's timeframe, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-issue-a-preemptive-pardon
New to prediction markets?
| JackTorrance | No | 94.35 |
| jeterl | No | 85.4 |
| BigOaks | No | 49.7 |
| Phil777 | No | 15.15 |
| themrmu | No | 13.74 |
| bmmh | No | 5.77 |
