Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 61.5% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 55% on 21 Jan 2025. $3.04M traded over the market's life.
347 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 61.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RivieraTom | Yes | 20.61K |
| fatpiano | Yes | 10.79K |
| klifto | Yes | 9.63K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes on tips earned by workers in the United States by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax on tips remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income or type of worker, etc) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax on tips. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-taxes-on-tips-in-first-100-days
| pulica | Yes | 8.15K |
| PepeMcPew | Yes | 6.48K |
| Fartard | Yes | 6K |
| 3x3q | Yes | 5.65K |
| marktwaindaddy333 | Yes | 3.19K |
| Khang123 | Yes | 3.18K |
| Odd-Staff | Yes | 3.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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