Analytics
Resolved Trump on 26 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Trump at 98.6%. The Kamala side opened at 43% on 19 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2024 to 26 Oct 2024, the highest close was 43% on 19 Oct 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 26 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 5% on 23 Oct 2024. $193.12K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 6:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Kamala price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 19 Oct 2024 – 26 Oct 2024
| Observed | Kamala price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2024 | 43.0% |
| 26 Oct 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Justcola | Kamala | 211.5 |
| Maxim86 | Kamala | 173.1 |
| Linmick | Kamala | 100 |
| Mycoolmondot | Trump | 37.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Kamala" if Joe Rogan releases a podcast with Kamala Harris before he releases one with Donald Trump. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Joe Rogan releases a podcast with Donald Trump before he releases one with Kamala Harris. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Joe Rogan does not release a podcast with either candidate by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-go-on-rogan-first
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Broken-Visa | Trump | 8.47 |
| accountfirst | Kamala | 7.32 |
| ameracia | Kamala | 2.73 |
| zff21 | Kamala | 2.6 |
| Interpretations | Trump | 2.22 |
| ITALIANO | Trump | 1.69 |
