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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 420 | $0.958 | $414.96 | +$12.68 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | 18h ago |
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| No |
| 338.46 |
| $0.894 |
| $313.08 |
| +$10.35 |
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | No | 270 | $0.974 | $267.03 | +$4.15 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 260 | $0.907 | $235.3 | -$0.5 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 259.99 | $0.866 | $187.19 | -$37.9 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.879 | $179 | +$3.2 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 161.5 | $0.949 | $160.21 | +$6.89 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 194.62 | $0.782 | $152.78 | +$0.56 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in September? | No | 150 | $0.969 | $144.83 | -$0.52 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 160 | $0.909 | $139.12 | -$6.36 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 130 | $0.796 | $122.2 | +$18.7 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 140 | $0.873 | $121.1 | -$1.1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 120 | $0.980 | $119.58 | +$1.96 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 116.45 | $0.682 | $115.52 | +$36.12 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 100 | $0.878 | $99.95 | +$12.18 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 127.45 | $0.861 | $97.5 | -$12.25 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.875 | $96 | +$8.5 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.945 | $95.5 | +$1 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $94 | +$4 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 98.65 | $0.897 | $93.72 | +$5.27 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 95.26 | $0.914 | $93.26 | +$6.2 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 93.15 | $0.957 | $92.68 | +$3.5 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 95 | $0.896 | $92.44 | +$7.29 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $91.5 | +$1.5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September? | No | 80 | $0.972 | $78.44 | +$0.66 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.900 |
| $18 |
| 18h ago |
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.965 | $28.94 | 18h ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 57.35 | $0.993 | $56.95 | 1d ago |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | 1d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 46.2 | $0.993 | $45.88 | 1d ago |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 1d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 1d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 30.56 | $0.991 | $30.28 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | sell | 34.44 | $0.992 | $34.16 | 2d ago |
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | 3d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.973 | $19.46 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | 3d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 3d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 3d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | 3d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.907 | $18.14 | 3d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.907 | $18.14 | 3d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.935 | $18.7 | 3d ago |
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | 3d ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 3d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.908 | $36.32 | 4d ago |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.979 | $48.95 | 4d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | 4d ago |
OpenAI acquired before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | 4d ago |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 4d ago |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 4d ago |
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.974 | $19.48 | 4d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | 4d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | 4d ago |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.971 | $6.8 | 6d ago |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.980 | $29.4 | 6d ago |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 6d ago |
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.930 | $9.28 | 6d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | 6d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.980 | $29.4 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.974 | $19.48 | 6d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | 6d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 6d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 6d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | buy | 11.32 | $0.985 | $11.15 | 6d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 6d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.941 | $18.82 | 6d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.909 | $45.45 | 6d ago |
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 6d ago |