
Yes is at 86.5%, up 14 points from 73% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 73% on 5 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 83.5%; a month before, 83.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 78.5% on 6 Sep 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “GPT-7 released by...?”.
$11.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.61K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 94 trades, $3.12K bought Yes and $617.53 bought No.
The largest Yes position is yoyobb2018 with 959 shares; the largest No position is Xeny with 995. Ten wallets hold 84.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 73.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 86.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Xeny | No | 994.81 |
| yoyobb2018 | Yes | 958.53 |
| doil | Yes | 296.39 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-7 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and be designated as version 7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Any of OpenAI's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Astra, Sol, Terra, Luna, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 7 or higher appears in the name or model identifier. For example, GPT-7, GPT-7 Astra, GPT-7 Sol, or a later version such as GPT-7.1 or GPT-8 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 7, such as GPT-6 Astra or GPT-6.1, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 7 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gpt-7-released-byptptpt
| Bodytobody |
| Yes |
| 206.25 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 201.42 |
| pechnaud | Yes | 200 |
| lissartter | No | 176.36 |
| Drunken-Mentat | No | 161.04 |
| xcaiox | Yes | 113.48 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 102.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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