Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.950 | $25.33 | Nov 4, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 27.02 |
| $0.780 |
| $21.08 |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.900 | $17.99 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 26.21 | $0.784 | $20.55 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 44.94 | $0.870 | $39.1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.950 | $21.11 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | sell | 28.16 | $0.810 | $22.81 | Feb 4, 2025 |
U.S. recession before May 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.966 | $19.32 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Feb 4, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 26.21 | $0.763 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
TikTok banned in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Hyperliquid exploit before February?No | buy | 19 | $0.967 | $18.37 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.830 | $0.49 | Nov 9, 2024 |
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.930 | $21.63 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 24.46 | $0.840 | $20.55 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024?No | buy | 186.34 | $0.965 | $179.82 | Oct 23, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 33.17 | $0.603 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?No | buy | 58.24 | $0.870 | $50.67 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Israel declares war on Iran in October?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities in October?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 27.89 | $0.742 | $20.69 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes | buy | 16.03 | $0.624 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.850 | $10.76 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 22.09 | $0.920 | $20.32 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.11 | $0.700 | $10.58 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 20.79 | $0.960 | $19.96 | Sep 13, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 20.33 | $0.984 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 21.41 | $0.934 | $20 | Sep 7, 2024 |
2024 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 20.57 | $0.972 | $20 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 27.89 | $0.717 | $20 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Maduro out in 2024?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Sep 15, 2023 |