Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 224 daily closes on record from 23 May 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 53.5% on 24 May 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 11% on 26 May 2023. $179.95K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 224 points, 23 May 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2023 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JorJorno | Yes | 5.52K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 1.99K |
| odissey992 | Yes | 1.74K |
This is a market series over by when there will be a nuclear detonation anywhere in the world.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-nuclear-weapon-detonate-by
| futureenjoyer | Yes | 500 |
| Punctual-Rifle | Yes | 500 |
| Flobot | Yes | 178.57 |
| Happy-Load | Yes | 165.14 |
| Aleksanteri | Yes | 138.89 |
| m55 | Yes | 103.59 |
| dunks | No | 82.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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