Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 28 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 309 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 44.5% on 28 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 13.5% on 29 Feb 2024. $6.08M traded over the market's life.
627 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 309 points, 28 Feb 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2024 | 44.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 579.52K |
| AlexMakedonskay | Yes | 284.09K |
| Pdicastelmozzo | Yes | 55.07K |
This is a market on when Ethereum will reach its next all-time high price.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-all-time-high-wen
| TheLonerWhoWins | Yes | 47.07K |
| 0xbearbullchad | Yes | 15.77K |
| BUAIIV | Yes | 15.16K |
| AGizzle | Yes | 11.99K |
| springchicken | Yes | 11.66K |
| puppy | Yes | 11.05K |
| Aptemuyc | Yes | 6.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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