Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 8 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 208 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 9 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 10.5% on 9 Jun 2024. $156.73K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 208 points, 8 Jun 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2024 | 5.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
If an Ethereum hard fork occurs between June 6 and December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-ethereum-hard-fork-live-by-end-of-2024
New to prediction markets?
| FrostFern | Yes | 13.75 |
| TwilightTide | Yes | 11.11 |
| Stephan805 | Yes | 9.09 |
| luckydegen | Yes | 2.94 |
| 111we | No | 2.22 |
| hbmbnmbnm | Yes | 1.67 |
| dianwaimai | No | 1.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
