Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 13.5% on 31 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Mar 2025. $366.52K traded over the market's life.
291 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 13.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| THard | Yes | 2.26K |
| Buzzing-Arm | Yes | 1.79K |
| GamblingInspector | Yes | 1.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Base team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-q1-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1K |
| dasafpoor | Yes | 982.44 |
| 0xyfe | Yes | 714.29 |
| mosnean | Yes | 709.97 |
| wtfno | Yes | 497.16 |
| Emerald Horizon C4F2 | Yes | 371 |
| 0xsimba | Yes | 369.99 |
